Statistics: Score Needed On The Final For A Target Grade

Excel Formulas › Statistics

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A course grade is a weighted average, so you can solve for the final. Subtract the current grade's share from the target and divide by the final's weight.


Quick formula: Target minus current share, over final weight:
=ROUND((D2-B2*(1-C2))/C2,1)

At 88 with a 25% final and a 90 target, you need 96.

Functions used (tap for the full reference guide):

The example

Three students. Student A needs over 100.

ABCDEF
1CaseCurrentFinal wtTargetNeededStatus
2Student A84.530.0%90.0102.8Not possible
3Student B88.025.0%90.096.0Possible
4Student C72.040.0%80.092.0Possible

The formula

Rearranging target = current*(1-w) + final*w:

=ROUND((D2-B2*(1-C2))/C2,1) // score needed; status = IF(Needed<=100,"Possible","Not possible")

How it works

Here is the logic, one piece at a time:

  1. 1-C2 is the share already earned.
  2. B2*(1-C2) is the points banked.
  3. D2-... is what's left to earn.
  4. Dividing by C2 gives the final score needed.

Use the percent of the course the final represents.

Try it: interactive demo

Interactive

Enter current grade, final weight and target.

Variations

Whole number

Round up.

=ROUNDUP((D2-B2*(1-C2))/C2,0)

Minimum grade

What if you score 70?

=B2*(1-C2)+70*C2

Pitfalls & errors

Extra credit can lift the cap above 100.

Weight must be a decimal, not 25.

Check the syllabus.

Practice workbook

📊
Download the free Statistics: Score Needed On The Final For A Target Grade practice workbook
Edit the yellow grade, weight and target cells; needed score and status recalculate.

Frequently asked questions

Why 100?
A maximum score is usually 100.
Multiple exams?
Use SUMPRODUCT.

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Related formulas: Weighted Average Price with SUMPRODUCT · Percentile Rank of a Value (PERCENTRANK) · Z-Scores: How Far From Average

Function references: ROUNDIF