CONFIDENCE Function

Excel Functions › Compatibility

All versions (legacy) Compatibility

The Excel CONFIDENCE function returns the margin of error for a population mean, using the normal distribution. It is the legacy name of CONFIDENCE.NORM, introduced in Excel 2010.


Quick answer:
=CONFIDENCE(0.05,2.5,50) margin of error ≈ 0.6929

Syntax

=CONFIDENCE(alpha, standard_dev, size)
ArgumentDescription
alphaRequiredThe significance level used to compute the confidence level (the confidence level is 1 − alpha; 0.05 gives 95%).
standard_devRequiredThe population standard deviation for the data range (assumed known).
sizeRequiredThe sample size.

How to use it

CONFIDENCE returns the half-width of a confidence interval for a mean: take the sample mean and add ± this value to get the interval. It assumes a known population standard deviation and uses the normal (z) distribution.

=CONFIDENCE(0.05,2.5,50) // 95% margin ≈ 0.6929
=CONFIDENCE(0.01,2.5,50) // 99% margin ≈ 0.9105

An alpha of 0.05 corresponds to a 95% confidence level. If the population standard deviation is unknown and you have a small sample, the t-based CONFIDENCE.T is more appropriate.

Use CONFIDENCE.NORM instead: =CONFIDENCE.NORM(0.05,2.5,50) in Excel 2010+ returns the same margin. The newer family also adds CONFIDENCE.T for the small-sample, unknown-sigma case.

Try it: interactive demo

Live demo

Pick a CONFIDENCE example to see the formula and its result.

Result:

Practice workbook

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Frequently asked questions

What is the modern replacement for CONFIDENCE?
CONFIDENCE.NORM, added in Excel 2010, with identical arguments. =CONFIDENCE.NORM(0.05,2.5,50) equals =CONFIDENCE(0.05,2.5,50).
How do I build the confidence interval from the result?
Take your sample mean and subtract the CONFIDENCE value for the lower bound and add it for the upper bound: mean ± CONFIDENCE.
What confidence level does alpha 0.05 give?
A 95% confidence level. In general the confidence level is 1 − alpha, so alpha 0.01 gives 99% and alpha 0.10 gives 90%.
When should I use CONFIDENCE.T instead?
When the population standard deviation is unknown and you estimate it from a small sample. CONFIDENCE (and CONFIDENCE.NORM) assume a known sigma and use the normal distribution.

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Related functions: CONFIDENCE.NORM · COVAR · CHITEST · FTEST · BETADIST