EXPON.DIST Function

Excel Functions › Statistical

Excel 2010+ Statistical

The Excel EXPON.DIST function returns the exponential distribution — used to model the time between independent events that happen at a constant average rate, such as customer arrivals or component failures.


Quick answer:
=EXPON.DIST(0.2,10,TRUE) cumulative probability ≈ 0.8647

Syntax

=EXPON.DIST(x, lambda, cumulative)
ArgumentDescription
xRequiredThe value of the function — the time or distance until the next event. Must be ≥ 0.
lambdaRequiredThe rate parameter (events per unit). Must be > 0. Its reciprocal, 1/lambda, is the mean time between events.
cumulativeRequiredTRUE returns the cumulative distribution (probability the event occurs by time x); FALSE returns the probability density at x.

How to use it

The cumulative flag picks which curve you get. With TRUE, EXPON.DIST returns the probability that the next event happens at or before time x — mathematically 1 − e^(−lambda·x):

=EXPON.DIST(0.2,10,TRUE) // cumulative ≈ 0.8647
=EXPON.DIST(0.2,10,FALSE) // density ≈ 1.3534

With FALSE you get the probability density function (PDF), lambda·e^(−lambda·x). The density can exceed 1 (as above) because it is a rate, not a probability — only the area under the curve is bounded by 1.

The mean of an exponential distribution is 1/lambda. Here lambda is 10, so events occur on average every 0.1 units, and by time 0.2 there is roughly an 86% chance the event has already happened.

Watch the arguments: both x and lambda must be positive (x may be 0), or EXPON.DIST returns the #NUM! error. The legacy name in older Excel is EXPONDIST (no dot).

Try it: interactive demo

Live demo

Set x and the rate lambda to see the cumulative probability and the density.

Cumulative (TRUE):   Density (FALSE):

Practice workbook

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Frequently asked questions

What is the difference between the TRUE and FALSE forms?
TRUE returns the cumulative distribution — the probability the event has occurred by time x, equal to 1 − e^(−lambda·x). FALSE returns the probability density lambda·e^(−lambda·x) at exactly x.
Why is the density (FALSE) result greater than 1?
A probability density is a rate, not a probability, so it can exceed 1 when lambda is large. Only the total area under the density curve is constrained to 1 — individual density values are not.
What is lambda and how does it relate to the mean?
Lambda is the average number of events per unit of time or distance. The mean waiting time between events is its reciprocal, 1/lambda. With lambda = 10, the average gap is 0.1.
How is EXPON.DIST different from EXPONDIST?
They compute the same thing. EXPON.DIST (with the dot) was introduced in Excel 2010 as the modern name; EXPONDIST is the legacy function kept for backward compatibility.

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Related functions: POISSON.DIST · WEIBULL.DIST · GAMMA.DIST · NORM.DIST · LOGNORM.DIST