Harvest Moisture Shrink and Dry-Down

Excel Formulas › Agriculture & Farming

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Grain sold at a market moisture weighs less than wet grain — water is removed and shrink is applied. Dry-weight bushels from wet weight is essential for honest yield and settlement.


Quick formula: dry bushels from wet weight and moisture:
=wet_weight * (100 - wet_moisture) / (100 - target_moisture)
Scale wet weight by the ratio of dry-matter fractions to get the weight at the target (market) moisture.

The example

10,000 lb at 20%, sold at 15%.

AB
1ItemValue
280% / 85% DM—
3Dry weight→ 9,412 lb

The formula

The formula:

=wet_weight * (100 - wet_moisture) / (100 - target_moisture) // rescale by dry-matter fraction

How it works

How it works:

  1. Dry matter = 100 − moisture % — the part that doesn’t evaporate.
  2. Weight at target moisture = wet_weight × (100−wet_moist) ÷ (100−target_moist).
  3. Shrink = wet weight − dry weight — the pounds (and bushels) lost to water plus handling.
  4. Convert pounds to bushels with the crop’s test weight (56 lb/bu corn).

Shrink is mostly water, plus a handling factor. The dry-matter ratio captures the water removed; many elevators add a small extra shrink percentage for handling loss on top. Selling wet and paying drying, versus drying on-farm, is a real economic choice — model the dried bushels and the drying cost side by side before hauling to town.

Try it: interactive demo

Live demo

Wet weight, wet %, target %.

Dry · Shrink

Variations

Shrink pounds

Wet − dry:

=wet_weight - dry_weight

Shrink percent

Loss share:

=(wet_weight - dry_weight) / wet_weight

Dry bushels

Pounds ÷ test weight:

=dry_weight / 56

Pitfalls & errors

Dry matter, not moisture. Rescale by (100−moisture), the part that stays.

Handling shrink. Elevators may add a small extra % beyond water loss.

Test weight. Use the crop’s lb/bu (corn 56, soybeans 60) for bushels.

Practice workbook

📊
Download the free Harvest Moisture Shrink and Dry-Down practice workbook
A moisture-shrink sheet with the shrink-pounds, percent, and bushels variants, plus 4 challenges with answers. No sign-up required.

Frequently asked questions

How do I calculate grain shrink in Excel?
Rescale by dry matter: =wet_weight * (100 - wet_moisture) / (100 - target_moisture). 10,000 lb at 20% sold at 15% is 9,412 lb.
What is shrink?
The weight lost when grain is dried to market moisture — wet weight minus dry weight, mostly water plus a handling factor.
How do I convert to bushels?
Divide dry weight by the crop's test weight — 56 lb/bu for corn, 60 for soybeans.

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Related formulas: Crop yield per acre · Shrinkage rate · Percent change